2nd Test

UPDATE…. MONDAY Lunch….

A lovely lay of India as we have benefited from a good partnership between Vaughan and Strauss.

Up to you now as you know your risk levels.

India are 1.85 to back and we layed at around 1.49.

There is nothing wrong with taking profit here – or let it ride.

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UPDATE…. MONDAY 11.45am….

The early wicket was good for us, but this looks a long slog for India as the pitch is flat.

I reckon England will build partnerships but still lose wickets and they will be winkled out rather than blasted. That means the Indian price will trade in and out – possibly quite dramatically.

Right now the Indian win is at 1.5, and I am laying that to trade, waiting 30 minutes, and it should start moving upwards.

It is a TRADE though as I still expect India to bowl England out even if it is slowly and for 400 – btw such a score would leave them 120 to win.

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UPDATE…. MONDAY 11am….

India should win this game, which means our lay of the draw on Friday looks good.

For England to save this match they are going to have to bat for 5 sessions, which means all the way through till tea tomorrow, which will be difficult.

The weather forecast suggests we will get two full days of play of 95 overs each, and England’s hopes depend on their top and middle order batting, as the tail will not be able to bat to save any game.

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UPDATE…. FRIDAY 4.20pm….

Well play has started, but that’s fine as our plan was to lay the draw when it did.

And what a lay, as now England have lost three wickets and the game is advancing towards a result handsomely.

I reckon we let our lay run, and trade England if they get above 5.

Remember the pitch will suit our seamers and if they bowl well India could be low scorers as well.

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UPDATE…. FRIDAY 1.40pm….

Not much to report. The outfield is soaked and I reckon any play today is hard to imagine.

However, forecast is OK for the rest of match so they could make up lots of time, and pitch is supposed to be underprepared and with some grass on it. So watch the draw shorten – 1.86 at moment – and then lay when play is on tomorrow.

Hopefully if there is no play today the price will contract hugely.

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Would you believe the weather forecast is bad again?

What a summer, and what a finish to a Test match last Monday. It was a shame that England did not manage to take the victory, but on the last day we traded reasonably so at least should have some schekels in the account.

However, we should remember how effective the drainage was at Lord’s, and not expect such deluges to be so easily thwarted at other grounds.

Now for our series punts. We were disappointed by Rahul Dravid. The logic still stands though that one big innings is all that is needed and he can definitely provide that.

Trent Bridge

There were stats in my original series review, but rain is forecast and most of the Midlands has suffered terribly. When they do get on it should swing and Sidebottom should have intimate knowledge of his home ground.

This also helps the superb Anderson but I do not believe the Indian bowling will start as poorly as it did in London. Indeed, without a superb KP hundred England were in trouble.

Everything depends on forecast rain. The draw is loitering around 2.1 on betfair, but at first deluge will plummet.

England are 2.9 on betfair – rightly so – but I want to see the toss, pitch and clouds before lumping on a bet.

Will India be as bad? I doubt it, but they are not the force of old and definitely looked their age and creaky.